Ever looked at a neighbor’s roof and thought, “How much energy are those solar panels actually producing – and would I get the same results if I installed the same setup?” That’s the kind of question I often hear from homeowners who want real numbers before making a big investment like solar. And it’s a smart one to ask, because even if you and your neighbor installed the same number of panels, your results could turn out completely different. In this guide, I’ll show you how much energy solar panels produce per day on average, explain the key factors that cause those numbers to vary from home to home, and walk you through how to calculate your own system’s daily output.
How Much Energy Do Solar Panels Produce Per Day On Average?
On average, a typical residential solar panel system in the U.S. produces about 25 to 40 kilowatt-hours (kWh) of electricity per day.
Here’s how that number comes together:
- Most U.S. homes that want to fully power their home with solar energy install around 15 to 20 solar panels.
- A single residential solar panel today can produce up to 400 watts (or 0.4 kW), which is typical for newer, high-efficiency models.
- These panels operate best under peak sunlight, which averages 3 to 5 hours per day in many U.S. states.
Doing the math with those assumptions in mind:
- 20 panels × 0.4 kW each = 8 kW system
- 8 kW × 5 sun hours = 40 kWh per day
That’s how we arrive at that upper range.
For a smaller 5-kW system with 12–14 panels, expect closer to 20 to 25 kWh per day.
As you can see from the calculation, a lot of factors come into play. A slight adjustment in our assumptions led to very different outcomes – just look at the gap between the upper and lower range. All that makes it hard to pin an exact number for how much solar panels produce daily.
So if you really want to answer this question for yourself, you’ll need to look at your own circumstances and lock in a set of assumptions that actually apply to you. And to help you make solid assumptions, I’ve broken down the key factors one by one in the next section.
Factors That Affect Daily Solar Panel Production
Solar Irradiance
Solar irradiance, or peak sun hours, is the amount of sunlight your panels receive in a day. More specifically, it’s how many hours the sunlight is strong enough to power your system at full output.
This is one of the biggest drivers of how much energy your panels can generate on any given day.
Sun hours depend heavily on where you live. For example, sunny states like Arizona or California can receive around 5 to 6 peak sun hours daily. Meanwhile, states like New York or Michigan only get around 4 hours

Image Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Weather and Season
Those average peak sun hours I mentioned earlier give you a decent starting point to determine what your system is capable of on paper. But once it’s actually up and running, and you start tracking your own numbers, don’t be surprised if things don’t always match the projections.
In reality, weather changes day by day. One week might be sunny, the next could be filled with back-to-back cloudy afternoons. On top of that, seasons shift production patterns even more. Summer brings longer, sunnier days, while winter usually comes with extended periods of overcast skies and shorter daylight hours.
In short, your solar output will naturally rise and fall with all of it, regardless of how well your system is sized and installed.
Solar Panel Rated Output
Rated output refers to the maximum amount of electricity (in watts or W) a solar panel can produce under “perfect” lab conditions.
The higher the rated output, the more energy the panel is capable of generating, which means a panel rated at 400 watts can theoretically produce more electricity than one rated at 300 watts.
Now, something that often confuses homeowners with solar is when they notice their 400-watt panel isn’t actually producing 400 watts in the real world. That usually stems from a misunderstanding of what rated output really means.
Remember that rated output is simply the maximum capacity – the ceiling – that a panel can deliver under perfect lab conditions.
But real life isn’t a lab. Your panels deal with cloud cover, heat, shade, and all sorts of external variables. So naturally, your actual output will fall below that rated number more often than not.
Roof Characteristics
Roof characteristics affect how well your solar panels perform, and they come down to two main things: layout and orientation.
Layout
Layout refers to anything that limits your roof’s usable space. Less space means fewer panels, and that limits how much electricity your system can generate each day.
By simple observation, a single-plane roof with minimal obstructions would typically be able to accommodate more panels than a multi-layered roof with chimneys or skylights breaking up the surface.
So, if you’re building a new house with the goal of optimizing for solar generation, this is probably something you’ll want to keep in mind.
Orientation
Orientation is simply the direction your roof faces. In the U.S., south-facing roofs get the most sun exposure throughout the day, making them the best choice for solar.
East- or west-facing roofs still work, but they capture less sunlight, which means a dip in daily output. North-facing roofs tend to have the lowest production among the options.
When both layout and orientation work in your favor, your panels have the best chance of delivering strong, consistent energy each day.
Unfortunately, not every home is built under such ideal conditions. In fact, for many homes I’ve worked on with the Avail Solar team, we’ve often had to get creative to work around layout or orientation issues. That sometimes meant recommending the use of higher-efficiency panels or ground-mounted systems.
Panel Tilt
Panel tilt refers to the angle your solar panels sit at, which affects how directly sunlight hits them. The more direct the angle, the more electricity your system can generate.
If you have a ground-mounted system, a good rule of thumb is to set your panels at a tilt angle equal to your latitude. So if you live at 35° latitude, a 35° tilt would usually give you the most balanced solar exposure and thus, most consistent energy output over the year.
Roof-mounted systems unfortunately don’t offer much flexibility when it comes to adjusting tilt. You’re mostly limited to your roof’s current angle, and even specialized mounting brackets can only do so much.
But that’s exactly where a professional solar installer comes in. We look at other areas and find opportunities to optimize your system’s production. After all, tilt is just one part of the bigger picture.
Solar Panel Age/Degradation
Solar panel degradation refers to the gradual loss in a panel’s ability to produce electricity as it gets older, due to natural wear and tear.
According to NREL, most panels today degrade at less than 1% per year – with real-world rates commonly falling between 0.5% and 0.8% annually. That means if your panel starts at 100% output in year one, it may only produce about 92% to 95% of its original capacity after 10 years, and around 85% after 20 to 25 years.
This matters because your system won’t always produce energy at the same rate it did when it was brand new. So even if your setup was generating, say, 30 kWh a day in year one, it might only produce around 25 to 27 kWh daily two decades later.
Panel Efficiency
Panel efficiency refers to how well a solar panel converts sunlight into usable electricity. The higher the efficiency, the more power it can generate from the same amount of sunlight.
This aspect eventually comes down to comparing the two common types of panels, namely, monocrystalline and polycrystalline panels.
Monocrystalline panels are the standard for residential solar today, typically converting about 17% to 22% of sunlight into electricity. In contrast, polycrystalline panels are less efficient, falling in the 15% to 17% range.
Most reputable installers only offer monocrystalline panels because of their superior efficiency. That said, this won’t be something you’ll need to stress over.
Temperature
Since we’re already talking about panel efficiency, it’s worth calling out how temperature affects it. Contrary to popular belief, a hotter temperature actually lowers panel efficiency.
For context, panels are tested for efficiency at around 77°F (25°C). For every degree above that, efficiency starts to drop, usually by 0.3% to 0.5% per °C, depending on the panel model.
That means in a hot summer afternoon when your roof hits 95°F (35°C), a 400-watt panel could be producing closer to 360–380 watts, which is less than its full rated capacity.
Surrounding Environment
If you live in a pollen-heavy area, near trees that shed leaves, or close to where birds frequently perch, your panels may get coated with buildup that partially blocks sunlight and reduces solar output. Think dust, debris, grime, droppings, and so on.
And unlike shade from clouds, this type of obstruction sticks around until it’s cleaned off.
Also, nearby trees or buildings that cast shadows over your panels during the day can drag down performance. Just one shaded panel can impact the entire system, depending on how the panels are wired together.
While none of these factors make solar a bad idea, they do mean you might need to clean your panels occasionally or trim a few branches to keep your system producing optimally.
How to Calculate How Much Energy Your Solar Panels Can Produce
If you haven’t installed solar panels yet, there’s a good chance you’ve already pictured how many might fit on your roof (or your backyard). That’s a great starting point, and it’s all we need to do a basic energy output estimate.
Here’s the formula we’ll use:
System size (in kW) × average sun hours per day = daily kWh output
That said, you first need to set a few assumptions. As an example, say:
- You’re planning to install 12 panels
- Each solar panel is rated at 400 watts (or 0.4 kW)
- Your location receives 5 peak sun hours per day
Plugging in those numbers:
- 12 panels × 0.4 kW = 4.8 kW system size
- 4.8 kW × 5 sun hours = 24 kWh per day
From there, you can get a ballpark estimate of your solar panel system’s monthly and annual output:
- Monthly: 24 kWh × 30 days = 720 kWh per month
- Yearly: 720 kWh × 12 months = 8,640 kWh per year
How Many Solar Panels Do I Need to Cover My Household Consumption
If you’re still in the early stages of deciding whether to go solar, it makes sense to start with your current energy use and work backwards. In other words, instead of guessing how many panels you can install, you start by asking how many panels would it take to cover the amount of electricity I actually use?
Here’s a simple formula to help you figure that out:
(Your daily energy use in kWh) ÷ (daily output per panel in kWh) = number of panels needed
Now, let’s establish some assumptions so the numbers make sense:
- Each panel produces 2 kWh per day (based on a 400-watt panel in a location with 5 peak sun hours)
- Your daily usage is 30 kWh
So: 30 kWh ÷ 2 kWh per panel = 15 panels (i.e. 15 units of 400-W solar panels for 100% offset)
If you’re thinking about offsetting only a portion of your consumption, say 75%, rather than maxing out your budget, that’s totally doable. Following the same method, a 75% usage brings us to:
(30 kWh x 0.75) ÷ 2 kWh per panel = ~11 panels
Maximize Your Solar Panel Production Output
I’ve shown you how the math works for how much solar panels can produce in a day, but using those numbers without real-world context can be misleading. Getting the most out of your solar system all comes down to how well it aligns with your usage patterns and the local conditions you live in.
This same principle is exactly how we at Avail Solar have helped hundreds of homeowners across Utah, Colorado, and Nevada build solar systems that deliver maximum output and long-term value.
If you have questions or you’re ready to see what the right solar setup looks like for your home, feel free to reach out – or request a quote today and we’ll take it from there.